March 24, 2010
Dear Architects, Technologists, Strategists,
It is never easy to write the obituary of any company. It is harder to write that of any technology. Luckily, Unix as an Operating System thrives through Linux, even as the Sun of Solaris fame has permanently set.
The Obituary of Sun Microsystems
This is one company which was a Silicon Valley darling for a few decades. It even created its own buzz: "We are the dot in dot.com." The dot-com bubble deflated / burst, the "tech winter" set in on Silicon Valley in 2001-2003; but Sun marched on for a while bravely, thanks to its anciliary offerings like JAVA. While IBM ate Sun's lunch, for Sun was after all a hardware company, McNealy kept loving basking in the limelight by keeping on attacking Bill Gates / Microsoft, as part of Sun's PR strategy.
In fact, strategy can be summed up in terms of asking three cardinal questions:
1. How does the firm create value?
2. How does it deliver value?
3. Why will no one eat its "lunch," or how does it capture value?
The third point above represents profits, or the "margin" in any value chain analysis. In particular, technology companies like Sun rise, have their High Noon, and set for ever. Frequently, their core technologies / products are overrun by newer technology brews. I have articulated elsewhere on this portal how I had warned Scott McNealy way back in 2002 how Linux was going to eat his lunch, using the framework of S-Curves.
So that you can appreciate the utility of tech strategy frameworks, let me add one more to the mix...
Architectural Innovations Will Destroy Your "Core Competencies"

In fact, strategy can be summed up in terms of asking three cardinal questions:
1. How does the firm create value?
2. How does it deliver value?
3. Why will no one eat its "lunch," or how does it capture value?
The third point above represents profits, or the "margin" in any value chain analysis. In particular, technology companies like Sun rise, have their High Noon, and set for ever. Frequently, their core technologies / products are overrun by newer technology brews. I have articulated elsewhere on this portal how I had warned Scott McNealy way back in 2002 how Linux was going to eat his lunch, using the framework of S-Curves.
So that you can appreciate the utility of tech strategy frameworks, let me add one more to the mix...
Architectural Innovations Will Destroy Your "Core Competencies"
What is presented below is an adoption of a pioneering framework, first articulated by Henderson and Clark in a research paper on "Architectural Innovation." The framework posits that where-as firms love to introduce innovations along the blue line (from incremental to granular), for their core competencies are built along well set "product architectures," they frequently ignore the architectural dimension of replacing older architectures with newer ones, as represented by the red arrow below:

The above framework suggests that incremental innovations and even a progressive innovation from incremental to granular along the blue arrow reinforces the core competencies, where as jumping across the comfort zone and going for "architectural innovation" along the red arrow above can destroy a firm's core competencies! Why? For "engineers" and "designers" do recognize when a new design at the component level hits the market. Whenever that happens, they consider that to be a "radical innovation," because they try to come up with better, cheaper, newer, faster, sleeker, smaller components themselves. Frequently, R&D departments within established firms focus on this, i.e., the blue arrow. Since a radical innovation incorporates that, i.e., newer components, a firm does not fail to notice this when it happens, or as it keeps happening; i.e., as better / cheaper / faster / sleeker / smaller / newer components incorporated within a similar product hit the market. However, if a firm is focused only on new components, new designs, overturning core design concepts, it can miss if an "architectural innovation" hits the market. Moreover, as per our framework above, a truly radical innovation is one which has not only newly designed components, but which also incorporates a new product architecture.
In other words, an architectural innovation is more subtle; no new component designs have been introduced; or the core design concepts underlying the components which go into making a product have not been overturned! This can be dangerous to an incumbent, if introduced by a new competitor, because it is a new product innovation. It is "outside the box" of thinking for an established firm, which is set in its ways in terms of building core competencies along the old, stable, established, product architecture. Hence, an architectural innovation being cooked outside your firm can be dangerous to your existing business, if business leaders in your firm are not aware that innovation can happen along this dimension, i.e., along the red arrow in the above framework. To learn more, please listen to the accompanying podcast. This framework is built on top of two older tech strategy frameworks: Dominant Designs, and S-Curves; these and other frameworks and applications thereof, as presented through our writings and podcasts, use as their foundation my first book, titled Strategic Case Analysis.
Building new core competencies, while your existing cores are working well, may not be easy. If your engineers are focused only on progressing along the blue arrow as depicted above, if your business unit leaders are working in tandem and solidifying their processes along old product architectures; you might be getting unwittingly disrupted, your core competencies might be getting destroyed, you "Sun might be setting." Awake, arise, see the danger of architectural innovations by hungrier new-bees who can kill your business; just as clustered Linux servers killed big Sun-Fire servers from Sun Microsystems (to understand this, you do have to listen to the podcast in its entirety). While Scott McNealy of Sun and his sidekick Jonathan Swartz walked away with 10 million dollars or more each in severance package, their employees who are now on Oracle's payroll will keep getting the axe for the next many years. Don't let this happen to the champions within your firm / business unit. Don't rely on the Hollow Competitive Analysts of yesterday; hire one of ours from FranTerActive today and save your business! And if you are a start-up, think along the red arrow above if you want to disrupt a Google or an Apple, you might just succeed!
Your partner in Business Success,
Sam Mishra
Author, Strategic Case Analysis